BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mount Ayr

Class: A Class Rank: 13 Conference: Pride of Iowa Record: (15-2-0) Overall: (32-17-0) Overall Strength =   71.22

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/27/2021 Away    L * *  27.05  16  20    A 54 ( 5-36- 0) Nodaway Valley        -44.02     40.02                      
 2 09/03/2021 Home    W * *  51.67  34  27    A 38 (19-25- 0) Leon Central Decatur  -19.40     26.40                      
 3 09/10/2021 Away    L   *  64.06  26  29    A 20 (24-21- 0) Oakland Riverside      -7.01      4.01                      
 4 09/17/2021 Home    W   *  92.12  25   6    A  9 (30-18- 0) Avoca AHSTW            21.05     -2.05                      
 5 09/24/2021 Away    W      80.90  49  12    8 52 (10-32- 0) Sidney                  9.83     27.17                      
 6 10/01/2021 Home    W     105.15  53   0    A 34 (12-32- 0) CB St Albert           34.08     18.92                      
 7 10/08/2021 Home    W      92.46  31   6    A 16 (24-22- 0) Earlham                21.39      3.61                      
 8 10/15/2021 Away    W * *  61.42  41  33    A 37 (20-24- 0) Southwest Valley       -9.65     17.65                      
 9 10/22/2021 Home    W      85.51  34  20    A 10 (35-17- 0) Madrid                 14.44     -0.44                      
10 10/29/2021 Home    L      41.41   7  34    A 14 (33-16- 0) Logan-Magnolia        -29.66      2.66                      
11 08/26/2022 Home    W * *  80.24  54   0    A 54 ( 5-36- 0) Nodaway Valley          9.17     44.83                      
12 09/02/2022 Away    W * *  69.48  33  13    A 38 (19-25- 0) Leon Central Decatur   -1.59     21.59                      
13 09/09/2022 Home    W   *  88.25  41  15    A 20 (24-21- 0) Oakland Riverside      17.18      8.82                      
14 09/16/2022 Away    L   *  49.93  13  41    A  9 (30-18- 0) Avoca AHSTW           -21.14     -6.86                      
15 09/23/2022 Home    W      89.09  56   6    8 52 (10-32- 0) Sidney                 18.02     31.98                      
16 09/30/2022 Away    W      96.96  43   3    A 34 (12-32- 0) CB St Albert           25.89     14.11                      
17 10/07/2022 Away    W     106.27  34   0    A 16 (24-22- 0) Earlham                35.20     -1.20                      
18 10/14/2022 Home    W * *  67.61  33  14    A 37 (20-24- 0) Southwest Valley       -3.46     22.46                      
19 10/21/2022 Home    W      54.01  27  24   1A 31 (20-25- 0) Ogden                 -17.06     20.06                      
20 10/28/2022 Away    L      49.69  33  62    A  8 (41-11- 0) Lynnville-Sully       -21.38     -7.62                      
21 08/25/2023 Away    W * *  58.05  39  12    A 54 ( 5-36- 0) Nodaway Valley        -13.02     40.02                      
22 09/01/2023 Away    W *    89.52  42   0    8 49 (14-28- 0) Corydon Wayne          18.45     23.55                      
23 09/08/2023 Home    L      70.51  34  35 1  A 10 (35-17- 0) Madrid                 -0.56     -0.44                      
24 09/15/2023 Home    L * *  27.67  14  31    A 38 (19-25- 0) Leon Central Decatur  -43.40     26.40                      
25 09/22/2023 Away    W      53.40  19  14    A 39 (14-26- 0) North Mahaska         -17.67     22.67                      
26 09/29/2023 Away    L      71.69  16  23 1  A  8 (41-11- 0) Lynnville-Sully         0.62     -7.62                      
27 10/06/2023 Home    L   *  53.78  18  42    A  6 (46- 8- 0) Guthrie Center A-C-G  -17.29     -6.71                      
28 10/13/2023 Home    W *    74.83  47  12    A 45 (16-27- 0) Martensdale-St Marys    3.76     31.24                      
29 10/20/2023 Away    L   *  66.59  18  34    A  6 (46- 8- 0) Guthrie Center A-C-G   -4.48    -11.52                      
30 08/30/2024 Home    W * *  78.24  58   6    A 54 ( 5-36- 0) Nodaway Valley          7.17     44.83                      
31 09/06/2024 Home    W *    63.71  27   6    8 49 (14-28- 0) Corydon Wayne          -7.36     28.36                      
32 09/13/2024 Away    L      54.32   6  28    A 10 (35-17- 0) Madrid                -16.75     -5.25  Little Tiger Cheer Clinic
33 09/20/2024 Away    W * *  89.48  54  14    A 38 (19-25- 0) Leon Central Decatur   18.41     21.59  Rotary Meal         
34 09/27/2024 Home    W      77.59  40   6    A 39 (14-26- 0) North Mahaska           6.52     27.48  Homecoming          
35 10/04/2024 Home    W      93.88  38  18    A  8 (41-11- 0) Lynnville-Sully        22.81     -2.81  Senior Night        
36 10/11/2024 Away    L   *  56.59  14  40    A  6 (46- 8- 0) Guthrie Center A-C-G  -14.48    -11.52                      
37 10/18/2024 Away    W *    84.64  54  14    A 45 (16-27- 0) Martensdale-St Marys   13.57     26.43  MSTM Senior Night and Military/First Responder Appreciation Night
38 10/25/2024 Home    W      75.46  58  50    A 16 (24-22- 0) Earlham                 4.39      3.61                      
39 11/01/2024 Away    L   *  55.59  14  41    A  6 (46- 8- 0) Guthrie Center A-C-G  -15.48    -11.52                      
40 08/29/2025 Home    W      57.90  26  14   1A 36 (13-30- 0) Shenandoah            -13.17     25.17                      
41 09/05/2025 Away    L   *  55.06  32  44    A 20 (24-21- 0) Oakland Riverside     -16.01      4.01  Youth Night         
42 09/12/2025 Away    L      54.66  22  33   1A 22 (28-19- 0) Pleasantville         -16.41      5.41                      
43 09/19/2025 Home    L   *  69.78  20  28    A  6 (46- 8- 0) Guthrie Center A-C-G   -1.29     -6.71                      
44 09/26/2025 Away    W * * 107.48  64   6    A 38 (19-25- 0) Leon Central Decatur   36.41     21.59  Academic Awards Night Rotary meal
45 10/03/2025 Home    W   *  99.12  32   6    A  9 (30-18- 0) Avoca AHSTW            28.05     -2.05  Homecoming          
46 10/10/2025 Away    W * *  72.05  47   6    A 54 ( 5-36- 0) Nodaway Valley          0.98     40.02  Senior Night        
47 10/17/2025 Home    W * *  91.61  43   0    A 37 (20-24- 0) Southwest Valley       20.54     22.46  Senior Night        
48 10/24/2025 Away    W      64.96  55  47    A 34 (12-32- 0) CB St Albert           -6.11     14.11                      
49 10/31/2025 Away    L   *  68.59   7  21    A  6 (46- 8- 0) Guthrie Center A-C-G   -2.48    -11.52                      
      Averages              71.22  33.5 20.3

Best game:  107.48 = 58 point win over Leon Central Decatur
Worst game:  27.05 = 4 point loss to Greenfield Nodaway Valley
Team stdev:  19.25